Debt ceiling talks ‘productive,’ but no deal yet

Anita Powell & Ken Bredemeier

US President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy met again Monday for tense Oval Office talks around raising the government’s borrowing limit – and, again, reached no agreement – as the US government stares down a looming deadline for its first-ever default.
The US Treasury has warned that the US government could default on its debt as soon as June 1 if Congress doesn’t raise the debt limit. On Monday, as the leaders sat down for another meeting, Biden said failing to act could have major consequences. “The American people would have a real kick in their economic well-being,” said Biden, who cut short an overseas trip to return to Washington for the debt negotiations. “As a matter of fact, the rest of the world would, too.”
Biden and McCarthy have met three times in recent weeks, each time failing to announce a deal afterwards. “We don’t have an agreement yet, but I did feel the discussion was productive in areas that (CQ) we have differences of opinion,” McCarthy said Monday. He said the two negotiating teams would continue to talk via staffers.
Previous presidents and congressional leaders have reached deals to raise the country’s debt limit 78 times in give-and-take negotiations in which neither side got everything on its wish list for the federal budget. This year, Republicans in the House have called for sharp government spending cuts, while the White House has countered with proposals to close tax loopholes and enact more limited spending reductions. Republicans also want increased work requirements for able-bodied poor people receiving government assistance, but Democrats say that under such a proposal, several hundred thousand people could lose the benefits they now receive. Republicans also are seeking cuts in funding for the country’s tax-collection agency and asking the White House to accept provisions from their party’s proposed immigration overhaul to stem the tide of migrants trying to enter the US at the Mexican border. Biden said in a statement after the talks, “We reiterated once again that default is off the table and the only way to move forward is in good faith toward a bipartisan agreement.” The president said he had done his part by offering ways to raise the country’s $31.4 trillion borrowing limit so the US government can keep paying its bills, such as interest on government bonds, stipends to US pensioners, payments to health care providers and salaries for government employees and contractors.
But as Biden warned Monday, the tight balance of power in the legislature means that any deal needs to appeal to both Democrats and Republicans. He has previously called House Republicans’ spending plan an “extreme position.” “We have to be in the position where we can sell it to our constituencies,” Biden said. “We are pretty well divided in the House, almost down the middle. And it’s not any different in the Senate. So we’ve got to get something we can sell to both sides.” On Sunday, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that the date when the government runs out of cash to pay its current bills remains uncertain, but that an expected June 15 infusion of tax payments may not come soon enough to avert a default.
“There’s always uncertainty about tax receipts and spending,” Yellen said. “And so, it’s hard to be absolutely certain about this, but my assessment is that the odds of reaching June 15th, while being able to pay all of our bills, is quite low.” She said decisions have not been made on which bills would go unpaid if the government defaults. “I would say we’re focused on raising the debt ceiling and there will be hard choices if that doesn’t occur,” Yellen said. “There can be no acceptable outcomes if the debt ceiling isn’t raised, regardless of what decisions we make.”
And scholars at one of Washington’s premier universities said Monday that the stakes are high. “The uncertainty that the debt ceiling injects into the economy adds another element of risk to the tenuous economic conditions that we are already experiencing,” said Jeffrey Harris, a finance professor at American University. “On top of the added burden of inflation and higher borrowing costs, consumer confidence is already near all-time lows. The possibility of a continuing US impasse driving rates higher would compound current consumer issues and threatens to push the economy into a worse state,” he said.
VOA